Resource Adequacy
ERCOT counts on an adequate supply of electric generation to meet demand and maintain capacity reserves to help support grid reliability if shortfalls occur.
This section includes access to ERCOT market studies and analysis materials related to resource adequacy as well as ERCOT short- and long-term forecast reports on generation supply and demand.
Reports produced prior to 2012 are located in the yearly archive section of Reports and Presentations
All other archives are located at the bottom of the page.
Monthly Outlook for Resource Adequacy (MORA)
The MORA report serves as an early indicator of the hour-by-hour risk that ERCOT may need to issue an Energy Emergency Alert or call for controlled outages to maintain grid reliability for the reporting month. The MORA report uses probability-based modeling to determine the likelihood that ERCOT will have insufficient operating reserves during each monthly peak electric demand period. The reports also include scenarios to show demand and resource availability for selected hours based on expected grid conditions.
The MORA report is issued on the first Friday of each month. A MORA is released two months prior to the reporting month; for example, the planned release of the MORA report for August would be the first Friday in June.
Sep 3, 2026 - pdf - 930.3 KB
Sep 3, 2026 - xlsx - 244.8 KB
Previous MORA Reports
Previous MORA Reports
Aug 7, 2026 - pdf - 934.2 KB
Aug 7, 2026 - xlsx - 247.3 KB
Jul 2, 2026 - pdf - 990 KB
Jul 2, 2026 - xlsx - 325.2 KB
Jun 8, 2026 - pdf - 985.8 KB
Jun 8, 2026 - xlsx - 308.2 KB
May 1, 2026 - pdf - 981.5 KB
May 1, 2026 - xlsx - 333.7 KB
Apr 3, 2026 - pdf - 935.9 KB
Apr 3, 2026 - xlsx - 257.9 KB
Mar 6, 2026 - pdf - 970.6 KB
Mar 6, 2026 - xlsx - 321.5 KB
Feb 6, 2026 - pdf - 951.7 KB
Feb 6, 2026 - xlsx - 311 KB
Jan 2, 2026 - pdf - 975.7 KB
Jan 2, 2026 - xlsx - 469.2 KB
Dec 5, 2025 - xlsx - 399.4 KB
Nov 7, 2025 - xlsx - 395.5 KB
Oct 3, 2025 - xlsx - 402.8 KB
Sep 5, 2025 - pdf - 966 KB
Sep 5, 2025 - xlsx - 341.3 KB
Sep 5, 2025 - pdf - 966 KB
Aug 1, 2025 - pdf - 965.4 KB
Aug 1, 2025 - xlsx - 336.9 KB
Jul 7, 2025 - pdf - 929.6 KB
Jul 7, 2025 - xlsx - 304.3 KB
Jun 6, 2025 - pdf - 1.9 MB
Jun 6, 2025 - xlsx - 304.9 KB
May 2, 2025 - pdf - 908.2 KB
May 2, 2025 - xlsx - 309.8 KB
Apr 4, 2025 - pdf - 912.7 KB
Apr 4, 2025 - xlsx - 307.7 KB
Mar 7, 2025 - pdf - 894.9 KB
Mar 7, 2025 - xlsx - 292.1 KB
Feb 7, 2025 - pdf - 907.1 KB
Feb 7, 2025 - xlsx - 306.5 KB
Jan 9, 2025 - pdf - 986.2 KB
Jan 9, 2025 - xlsx - 380.6 KB
Dec 6, 2024 - pdf - 913.7 KB
Dec 6, 2024 - xlsx - 324.1 KB
Nov 1, 2024 - pdf - 942.1 KB
Nov 1, 2024 - xlsx - 327.9 KB
Monthly Generator Interconnection Status Report
View the latest public interconnection information on planned generation resources in the ERCOT Region.
Starting March 2026, the monthly GIS report file series includes the Transmission Interconnection Costs Report. This report fulfills new reporting requirement in Section 5.2.8.4 of the ERCOT Planning Guide. The interconnection costs reflect those reported by Transmission Service Providers for transmission-level generators that received an initial energization date during the previous month. Note: If TSPs provide no costs for the previous month, a cost report will not be posted for that month.
Resource Capacity Trend Charts
Resource Capacity Trend Charts
Charts and accompanying data showing annual and monthly changes in resource capacity by fuel type for the ERCOT Region, incorporating both historical additions and planned projects being studied as part of the interconnection request process. The chart are updated on a monthly basis, and include natural gas, wind, solar, and battery storage resource types.
Sep 8, 2026 - xlsx - 93.2 KB
Sep 8, 2026 - xlsx - 114.6 KB
Aug 7, 2026 - xlsx - 93.3 KB
Aug 7, 2026 - xlsx - 113.3 KB
Jul 7, 2026 - xlsx - 91.4 KB
Jul 7, 2026 - xlsx - 113 KB
Jun 3, 2026 - xlsx - 92 KB
Jun 3, 2026 - xlsx - 113.1 KB
May 5, 2026 - xlsx - 91.2 KB
May 5, 2026 - xlsx - 112.1 KB
Apr 7, 2026 - xlsx - 91.5 KB
Apr 7, 2026 - xlsx - 113.1 KB
Mar 5, 2026 - xlsx - 90.9 KB
Mar 5, 2026 - xlsx - 113 KB
Feb 5, 2026 - xlsx - 90.2 KB
Feb 5, 2026 - xlsx - 113.8 KB
Jan 8, 2026 - xlsx - 90 KB
Jan 8, 2026 - xlsx - 109.3 KB
Dec 4, 2025 - xlsx - 90.8 KB
Dec 4, 2025 - xlsx - 109.4 KB
Nov 6, 2025 - xlsx - 90.1 KB
Nov 6, 2025 - xlsx - 109.7 KB
Oct 8, 2025 - xlsx - 89.5 KB
Oct 8, 2025 - xlsx - 109.3 KB
Sep 9, 2025 - xlsx - 90.8 KB
Sep 9, 2025 - xlsx - 109.5 KB
Aug 8, 2025 - xlsx - 91.1 KB
Aug 8, 2025 - xlsx - 108.4 KB
Jul 9, 2025 - xlsx - 89.5 KB
Jul 9, 2025 - xlsx - 107.7 KB
Jun 6, 2025 - xlsx - 90 KB
Jun 6, 2025 - xlsx - 108 KB
May 9, 2025 - xlsx - 91 KB
May 9, 2025 - xlsx - 107.2 KB
Apr 4, 2025 - xlsx - 92.3 KB
Apr 4, 2025 - xlsx - 105.3 KB
Mar 7, 2025 - xlsx - 96.7 KB
Mar 7, 2025 - xlsx - 104.2 KB
Feb 7, 2025 - xlsx - 94.8 KB
Feb 7, 2025 - xlsx - 102.6 KB
Resource Adequacy Assessments
Resource Adequacy Assessments
Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy (SARA)
Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy (SARA)
The SARA report is no longer produced. ERCOT now prepares the Monthly Outlook for Resource Adequacy (MORA), posted at the top of this page.
Capacity, Demand, and Reserves (CDR) Report
Capacity, Demand, and Reserves (CDR) Report
Dec 19, 2025 - pdf - 8.5 MB
Dec 19, 2025 - xlsx - 13 MB
May 16, 2025 - pdf - 3.2 MB
May 16, 2025 - xlsx - 964 KB
May 16, 2025 - pdf - 3.2 MB
May 16, 2025 - xlsx - 961.6 KB
May 18, 2026 - xlsx - 352.3 KB
2022 Zonal Reliability Study
Proof-of-concept study to investigate probabilistic reliability modeling using a multi-zone representation of the ERCOT grid rather than a single system region. The study examined how a target reliability standard level (0.1 expected loss-of-load events per year) can be maintained for individual regions and the system as a whole by increasing zonal generation capacity or expanding transmission between zones.
Jan 9, 2023 - pdf - 1.3 MB
Planning Reserve Margin Analysis
This section consists of documents and data files pertaining to the Economically Optimum and Market Equilibrium Reserve Margin (EORM/MERM) reporting initiative, which was authorized by the Public Utility Commission of Texas as part of Project Number 42302, "Review of the Reliability Standard in the ERCOT Region." The current minimum target reserve margin established by the ERCOT Board of Directors is 13.75 percent of peak electricity demand to serve electric needs in the case of unexpectedly high demand or levels of generation plant outages.
Jun 9, 2020 - docx - 761.4 KB
Drought Risk
Periodic drought risk reports based on ERCOT's risk monitoring tool that screens for potential drought-related impacts to generation resources. The tool predicts whether water supplies used by generation resources in the ERCOT Region are at risk of reaching levels requiring closer monitoring over the next 6 to 18 months, based on the most recent reservoir and lake levels from the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) and historical trends in water usage. See "Related Documents" under the 2019 Resource Adequacy webpage for documentation of the tool methodology and other related reports.
Drought Risk Analysis Reports
Drought Risk Analysis Reports
Jul 22, 2024 - pdf - 306.5 KB
Related Documents
Related Documents
Jun 16, 2016 - zip - 1.4 MB
Apr 26, 2016 - xlsx - 230 KB
Switchable Generation Resources
Jan 27, 2025 - doc - 136 KB
Wind, Solar and Energy Storage Resources
Wind and solar profiles for use in ERCOT planning studies, as well as files showing the derivation of summer/winter wind and solar peak average capacity percentages using approved CDR methodologies. Effective Load Carrying Capability (ELCC) reports and materials are also posted here.
Feb 28, 2025 - pdf - 1.5 MB
Historical Data
Historical Data
ERCOT Wind Profiles and Solar PV Profiles, 1980-2023
Users must register for the ERCOT Public Portal to access files. Follow the report link and log in or create an account in order to download the files. Be sure to use a non-ERCOT email address when registering.