The Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUC) and ERCOT Board have been evaluating possible approaches to encourage new generation development within the ERCOT region to maintain adequate capacity reserves. This section includes reports and presentations associated with this investigative effort.
Approximate pricing outcomes and estimates of Interim Solution B+ in 2011 and 2012 market conditions
Jan 7, 2014 - pdf - 702 KB
Planning Reserve Margin Analysis
The ERCOT Board of Directors has established a minimum target reserve margin equal to 13.75 percent of peak electricity demand to serve electric needs in the case of very high demand or unexpectedly high levels of generation plant outages. This section consists of reports that describe the methodology and results of studies that help the ERCOT Board determine the appropriate target reserve margin.
In December 2013, ERCOT engaged Itron to evaluate a new long-term forecasting framework. The framework includes a neural network (NN) model for each ERCOT zone (Zone) estimated over multiple historic periods and forecasted with a range of historic weath