1.

Antitrust Admonition

A. Pieniazek

9:30 a.m.

2.

Deep Dive Review of ERCOT Load Forecasting Methodology

• Comparison of previous methodology with latest methodology
• Response to comments made on load forecasting in PUCT Project 40000
• Timing on updated load forecast

C. Opheim

3.

Status Report on the Update of the 2012 LOLE Study Based on Revised Load Models

• Expected dates of results from vendor
• Next steps once results are available

W. Lasher
P. Warnken

4.

Discussion on ELCC of Wind

• Wind effective capacity analysis is not consistent with peak hour availability of thermal resources
• Capacity values of wind and other variable resource (solar) inconsistent in current CDR methodology

W. Lasher
P. Warnken

5.

New GATF Chair

A. Pieniazek

6.

If Time Allows: Discussion Concerning Economically Optimal Reserve Margin

A. Pieniazek

7.

Schedule Next GAFT Meeting

All

Adjourn

3:30 p.m.